Development of the national debt in Finland

Finland’s three most popular presidents. Urho Kekkonen, Mauno Koivisto and Sauli Niinistö.

Finland’s government debt = Additional cost to citizens caused by the work of MPs

  • In 1981 it was 3.7 billion euros, EUR 772.48 per inhabitant
  • At the end of 2022, it was 141.6 billion euros.
    EUR 25,398 per inhabitant and per employee approximately 50,000 euros.

And more to come:
The state budget proposal for 2023 is approximately 81.3 billion euros, which is approximately 16.4 billion euros more than in the actual budget for 2022. The increase is caused especially by the social security reform, as a result of which the level of the state’s budgetary finances will rise by around 14 billion euros on the level of the whole year.

According to the estimate published by the Ministry of Finance on March 1, 2024 the national debt would be 212 billion euros at the end of 2028.

In recent years, the European Central Bank has played a significant role in increasing the amount of debt. It has released about 5,000 billion euros of money made out of nothing into the European financial markets with the government bond purchase program. It enabled low-cost, even zero-interest loans for the countries’ endless need for money.

How we got here

The direction of Finland’s democratic development has been influenced by the three most popular presidents of their time. Urho Kekkonen, Mauno Koivisto and Sauli Niinistö.

Urho Kekkonen was president 1.3.1956 — 27.10.1981. Party background: Maalaisliitto, current Keskusta (Center)

He was an absolute supporter of neutrality, which is why he was also highly respected both in the United States and in Russia. So, he was skilled in foreign policy, but also a strong ruler in Finland. His leadership can be described as almost dictatorial, except without violence. He was so popular among the people that authority and speeches were enough to use power. It has been the reason why politicians have sought to tarnish his reputation since his death. He has been accused of being a Russian sympathizer and of making parliamentarism difficult. However, he was in power for an exceptionally long time, more than 25 years. When he gave up power in October 1981, the debt of the Finnish government was 3.7 billion Euros (less than 10% of the gross domestic product).

Mauno Koivisto was president 27.1.1982–1.3.1994. Party background: SDP (Social Democratic Party).

His most significant achievements must be considered the reduction of the president’s powers and the strengthening of parliamentarism. Finland’s membership application to the European Union was also submitted during Koivisto’s term. In foreign policy, he shifted Finland’s focus towards the west.

When he started as president, the debt of the Finnish state was 3.7 billion euros as a legacy of Kekkonen’s time. When he ended his second term 12 years later in early 1994, the debt was 43 billion Euros (50.2% of the gross national product).

Sauli Niinistö has been president since   1.3.2012  . Party background: Kokoomus (Right-wing party).

His second and at the same time his last presidential term will end in 2024. During his time in power, he has first been increasing NATO cooperation and finally taking Finland towards NATO membership. During the term of office of Sauli Niinistö, Finland’s integration into the European Union has also been deepened.

When he started as president in 2012, Finland’s government debt was 79.7 billion Euros (40.2% of gross domestic product). At the end of 2022, it was 141.6 billion euros. Due to commitments already made, the debt is estimated to be 160 billion at the end of President Niinistö’s term in 2024 (over 60% of the gross domestic product).

(Addition: 10.3.2023 The government’s debt at the end of 2023 was 156.2 billion euros.)

In addition to the influence of the presidents, the annual amount of Finland’s debt has been influenced by the actions of the European Central Bank, the effects of EU legislation, the Bank of Finland and the economic and monetary policy decisions of governments over the decades.

. . . . . . . . . . .

In the table below, the annual development of the government debt has been monitored. The reigns of presidents and governments have been added to it, but also special cases that have had an impact on debt development. So you can conclude for yourself why the almost debt-free Finland is now drowning in debt and citizens in payment difficulties.

Year      Government debt     Relative to GDP
(million euros)

================================
1955              230                    13,7 %

– Urho Kekkonen as president 1.3.1956

1981           3 717                      9,8 % 

–  Kekkonen resigned from the post 27.10.1981  
he was president for more than 25 years

1982           5 087                    11,9 %

Mauno Koivisto as president 27.1.1982 – 

Sorsa III government  19.2.1982 – 6.5.1983                                                                     

1983           6 412                    13,4 %          

– Sorsa IV government    6.5.1983 – 30.4.1987

1984           7 445                    13,9 % 
1985           7 902                    13,6 %  
1986           8 745                    13,9 %

  • The Bank of Finland liberalized the granting of foreign credits 
    in 1986 – CEO Rolf Kullberg 1983–1992

 1987           9 841                    14,5 %

– Holkeri government   30.4.1987 – 26.4.1991

  • Harri Holkeri’s “controlled structural change” government 
    started to deregulate the currency

1988           9 769                    12,7 % 
1989           8 899                    10,4 %
1990           9 593                    10,5 % 
1991         14 204                    16,3 %

– Aho government   26.4.1991 – 13.4.1995

  • Currency regulation was stopped

1992         27 849                    32,8 %

  • Full freedom for the movement of capital 1993

1993         43 030                    50,2 %

  • Finland’s 1990 – 1993 recession was one of the worst economic 
    crises in Finnish history in terms of its economic effects

1994         51 722                    57,0 % 

Martti Ahtisaari as president 1.3.1994

  • Finland became a member of the European Union 1.1.1995 

1995         60 121                    61,0 % 

– Lipponen government  13.4.1995 – 15.4.1999

1996         66 121                    64,8 % 
1997         69 770                    63,0 %  
1998         69 796                    58,0 %

  • Finland adopted the European common currency, the Euro  01.01.1999

1999         68 052                    53,6 % 

– Lipposen II hallitus 15.4.1999 – 17.4.2003

2000         63 435                    46,6 %

Tarja Halonen as president 1.3.2000

2001         61 760                    42,8 % 
2002         59 253                    40,0 %
2003         63 320                    41,7 %

– Vanhanen government  17.4.2003 – 19.4.2007

2004         63 788                    40,2 % 
2005         60 044                    36,5 %

 “China’s state treasury 2,500 billion dollars and EU countries
  at least as much debt.”

2006         58 904                    34,1 %   
2007         56 068                    30,0 %

– Vanhanen II government  19.4.2007 – 22.6.2010

2008         54 382                    28,0 %
2009         64 281                    35,4 %
2010         75 152                    39,9 %

– Kiviniemi government  22.6.2010 – 22.6.2011

2011         79 661                     40,2 %

– Katainen government  22.6.2011 – 24.6.2014

2012         83 910                    41,7 %

– Sauli Niinistö as president 1.3.2012

  • European Central Bank – consolidated balance sheet of the
    Eurosystem 3,020 billion euros (March 2012)

2013         89 738                    43,9 % 
2014         95 129                    46,0 %

– Stubb government   24.6.2014 – 29.5.2015 

2015         99 807                    47,2 %

– Sipilä government 29.5.2015 – 6.6.2019

2016       102 352                    47,0 % 
2017       105 773                    46,7 %

  • European Central Bank – consolidated balance sheet of the
    Eurosystem at the end of 2017 was 4,468 billion euros

2018       104 973                    45,0 %
2019       106 368                    44,3 %

– Rinne government  6.6.2019 – 10.12.2019 

– Marin government   10.12.2019 –

2020       124 833                    52,5 %

  • Consolidated balance sheet of the European Central Bank
    Eurosystem at the end of 2020 was 6,978 billion euros

2021       128 696                    51,2 %  
2022       141 628                    51,6%

  • Consolidated balance sheet of the European Central Bank
     Eurosystem at the end of 2021 was 8,566 billion euros

Orpo government 20.6.2023 –

2023 156.2 billion euros

Alexander Stubb as president 1.3.2024 –

Sources: 

Valtiokonttori  (Treasury)
Valtioneuvosto  (State Council)
European Central Bank

18.12.2022 (Updated 10.3.2024)

Reijo Lahdenperä

European Central Bank ECB
At the end of 2021, the consolidated balance sheet of the Eurosystem was EUR 8,566 billion (EUR 6,978 billion in 2020). The consolidated balance sheet consists of the external assets and liabilities of the national central banks of the euro area and the ECB. The balance sheet was increased from the previous year mainly by the securities purchases made in the PEPP and APP programs and the increase in the Eurosystem’s financing operations through the third series of targeted longer-term financing operations (TLTRO III).

The Eurosystem held EUR 4,713 billion in securities purchased for monetary policy reasons, which is EUR 1,019 billion more than the previous year (EUR 3,694 billion). Securities acquired in the APP program amounted to EUR 3,123 billion (EUR 214 billion more than the previous year) and securities acquired in the PEPP program amounted to EUR 1,581 billion (EUR 827 billion more than the previous year).

Ministers’ largest debt balances (February 2022)

– Prime minister Sanna Marin (sdp)                                     719 000 € 

– Climate and Environment Minister Maria Ohisalo (green) 636 000 €
– Foreign minister Pekka Haavisto (green)                           560 000 €
– Minister of Finance Annika Saarikko (center)                     533 500 €
– Minister of Justice Anna-Maja Henriksson (rkp)                 342 000 €
– Minister of Family and Basic Services Krista Kiuru (sdp)   228 000 €
– Minister of Education Li Andersson (left wing)                    213 000 €
– Minister of Municipal Affairs Sirpa Paatero (sdp)                203 000 €

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